lightningbug: firefly (Default)
2012-11-22 10:18 am
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Another Difference between Demorats and Republicans

Years ago, I remember seeing posters titled "The Difference between Republicans and Democrats." I don't remember most of the items; the only one I remember right offhand was "Republicans employ exterminators; Democrats step on bugs." I'm sure they're all out there on the Internet somewhere.

Another one that came to mind is that Democrats have "elites" while Republicans have "aristocracies". Elites are the top people; Bill Clinton and Barack Obama may have started out fairly low on the totem pole, but they rose to the top by merit and hard work and a lot of luck. Aristocrats are also on top, but they got there by "choosing their parents properly." George W. Bush is the classic example 1. As football coach Barry Switzer put it, "he was born on third base and went through life thinking he hit a triple."

Consider the nominating process for President. Democrats, it's hard to tell who's going to win; Republicans, it's the guy who's "due". An occasional Republican will upset the apple cart (Goldwater and Reagan), but with the Democrats it happens all the time. At the beginning of their primary seasons, Carter and Clinton were unknowns. In 2008, Hillary Clinton was "supposed to" win; all the big-name, big money Democrats were on her side 2. In 2012, Mitt Romney walked in and took the nomination as the only "not completely batshit crazy" candidate. Huntsman and Johnson, also not completely crazy, were roundly ignored by everybody. He'd been effectively running for at least six years; he was due. Besides, his father was one of the most impressive liberal Republicans of his era, as well as being a top businessman 3. The fact that Mitt Romney was the least personable candidate in memory just didn't matter; supposedly Karl Rove could get a rotten stump elected (see Dubya).

Look at who Republican policies benefit.  It's not really "the one percent".  Most of them are simply professionals who are doing well at their careers.  It's not the real entrepreneurs like Bill Gates and Elon Musk; I don't hear them whining about their taxes.  It's the "inherited money" crowd.  The thing that they're really pushing is the elimination of the inheritance tax.  That tax was introduced specifically to prevent the formation of enormous family fortunes.

Anyway, remember what they say about "aristocrats."



1 Re G.W. Bush: He and I are the same age. When I was getting ready to graduate from high school and figuring out which colleges to apply for, my guidance councilor told me not to bother sending applications to the Ivy League; my SAT scores weren't nearly high enough. My scores were a bit higher than Georgie's -- 300 points higher. Georgie had no trouble getting into Yale; he's a "legacy admission". This is simply affirmative action for rich folks. Also, his family gave lots of money to the university.

2 IMHO, this is the real reason Obama won the nomination. Hillary's advisers were the architects of all the big Democratic victories between 1994 and 2006.

3 Well, president of American Motors, anyway. Nobody's perfect.

lightningbug: firefly (Default)
2012-11-18 02:20 am

Unauditable Voting Machines, Again (or is it "still"?)

Well, isn't this just precious. "Anonymous" takes credit for re-hacking Rove's hacked voting machines in Ohio. This would certainly explain his on-air meltdown -- he thought the fix was in, and Romney couldn't lose Ohio.

 

This would also explain the failure of the "Orca" system. The descriptions I've seen say that Orca was a "scratch list" system, keeping track of exactly who has voted. That way, you can call the non-voters and see if they need a ride to the polls or whatever. That would be dead simple to design and build -- I could do it by myself in a couple of weeks. Add another week for some heavy-duty testing and a few days for a graphic artist to make it look pretty, and Bob's your uncle. So what did they spend the money on? Some high-priced "consultants"? Of course; the big-name consultants can spend any amount of money for a non-working system. And why were they so upset about it? Scratch lists are a trivial ingredient of GOTV anyway. (At least they were when I was working the phones. Maybe I'm just not very good at it. :-)

Remember, according to the exit polls (which are what we use in third-world elections to make sure the election is honest), Kerry won Ohio and Florida in 2004.  And their voting machines had a "midnight update", too.  Also, Ohio (against a direct Federal order) zeroed out the actual voting machines as soon as Bush's win in the state was "verified".

lightningbug: firefly (Default)
2012-01-03 12:45 pm
Entry tags:

Iowa

So the Iowa caucus is today.  BFD.  Everybody knows that Romney is going to get the nomination -- the Republican Powers that Be have determined this long since.  He's paid his dues and punched his ticket -- he gets the ride.

So why the Clown Show?  Entertainment.  Excitement!  Nobody is covering the *Democratic* caucus in Iowa -- it's a forgone conclusion that Obama's going to win it, probably unanimously.  Nobody cares.  The Republicans are getting a huge amount of eyeball time for their "debates".  The fact that all the candidates are coming across as somewhere between delusional and criminally insane is just one of those irrelevant side effects.  No matter what stupid things they say, the Republican campaign will kick dirt over them for the general election.

So my prediction for today (for what it's worth; ie nothing):

1.  Paul
2.  Santorum
3.  Romney
4.  Gingrich

Romney'll still get the nomination.
lightningbug: firefly (Default)
2011-08-17 05:02 pm
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"My Taxes are Too Low"

When Warren Buffett talks about money, everybody should listen.

I've seen the comment "Why doesn't he just send his money to the Treasury, then?" He does. One of the scarier factoids I've seen is that Buffett's company, Berkshire Hathaway, pays one third of all corporate income tax in the US. His philosophy: "Paying lots of taxes means we're making lots of money"